The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. Republican The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Same for GA senate races Charlie. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? It is not a red state. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Special elections, if any, are excluded. But Pennsylvania is now red. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Next is Alabama at No. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. It is not a blue state or a red state. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue - LancasterOnline One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Pennsylvania Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. What determines a state's "color"? The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. If . Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. What Painted Us So Indelibly Red and Blue? - Governing Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. Pennsylvania Election Results 2020 | Live Map Updates | Voting by It is not a red state. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Blue States Have Been Hit Much Harder by COVID-19. Why? A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. COVID-19 has hit people in Republican-led states hardest, study finds In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Pennsylvania's Blue Shift | The New Yorker (PA, GA, MI)". While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Tap or hover to see names. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Pennsylvania Cc Race Results - PennTrackXC.com Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Crime rate by state U.S. 2020 | Statista [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. 2020 US Presidential Election Results: Live Map - ABC News I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Good evening from Philadelphia! One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Error! [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Maps show how Pennsylvania voted for president county-by-county - WTAE Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps 2020 Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. Which ones are more politically competitive? Red States 2023 - Worldpopulationreview This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Like around the country, we're seeing. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! All three of those states were very close in both elections. These are general election results for the years listed. 2020 Election Results - Electoral Vote Map There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Pa. for Trump: How Pennsylvania went red for 1st time in 28 years An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. Blue and Red States - 270toWin Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. List Of Blue States And Red States No. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. And West Virginia is losing. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. COVID-19: Red States, Blue States | Open Mind Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. How Red Or Blue Is Your State? | FiveThirtyEight The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. More than a . Why blue states' economies are suffering more than red states' right now. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . VOA explains. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic on Red, Blue, and Swing States Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters - Brookings Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Support local journalism. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. How The 2020 Election Changed The Electoral Map | FiveThirtyEight So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. For Trump, It's Not the United States, It's Red and Blue States Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Tennessee. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Number of mass shootings in the United States between - Statista Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. In September, just eight states had. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. The 'blue shift' and what it means for Pennsylvania's 2020 election results On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. I don't know where to begin! With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Historically, Pennsylvania defies being labeled as 'Blue' or 'Red' state On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter.
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is pennsylvania, a red or blue state 2020