Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. Trade. }. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. . Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. You can then presume that he is faster than . Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. } The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. 0:49. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. Top Beyer Speed Figures. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. I have said that everything is on the table. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Conversely, a Belmont MSW favorite with a figure of 90 will be formidable.Owners and trainers can employ pars to find proper spots for their horses. In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. 107. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. table.tableizer-table { The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. Slew's Tiz Whiz Named Washington's 2022 Horse Of The Year. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. color: #FFF; When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? . Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Low 43F. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. Through 02/26/2023. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. Happy Jack. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . color: #FFF; 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. font-weight: bold; None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. Epicenter is right there with a high of 120. Sell. The ultimate objective is to have every number express the quality of a horses performance. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. border: 1px solid #CCC; He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. Sven Beyer. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. 0:04. Play today with NYRA Bets! background-color: #104E8B; As of 02.26.23. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) Chance of rain 100%. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. After reaching the WIAA Division 1 girls basketball state . Last year, he was on fire. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. The popular rule of thumb for a rough equivalent of the Timeform score is to deduct 12-14 points to achieve the Beyer figure. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance.
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beyer speed figures 2022